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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
37.29% ( -0.16) | 23.17% ( -0.05) | 39.54% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 64.67% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.22) | 36.71% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.12% ( 0.24) | 58.88% ( -0.24) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.02) | 20.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( 0.03) | 52.35% ( -0.03) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( 0.19) | 19.06% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( 0.31) | 50.65% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 39.54% |
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