SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 42.07%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Burgos |
42.07% ( 2.25) | 29.97% ( -0.7) | 27.96% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 40.54% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.8% ( 1.54) | 66.2% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.28% ( 1.04) | 84.72% ( -1.04) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( 2.15) | 31.23% ( -2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.42% ( 2.43) | 67.58% ( -2.43) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% ( -0.39) | 41.04% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% ( -0.35) | 77.6% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.51)2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.38)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.06% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.75)2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.96% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.27% Total : 27.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
