SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Andorra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | San Marino |
64.97% ( -0.47) | 21.55% ( 0.44) | 13.48% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.88% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.5% ( -1.61) | 52.5% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( -1.4) | 74.16% ( 1.4) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( -0.69) | 15.47% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.66% ( -1.29) | 44.34% ( 1.29) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.73% ( -0.94) | 49.27% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.85% ( -0.67) | 84.15% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | San Marino |
| 1-0 @ 14.22% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.91% Total : 64.97% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.54% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 13.48% |
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