Enjoying a real purple patch, the Viola should secure three more points on Thursday, when they will be a class above their hosts. APOEL cannot find off-field stability and are performing below par on the pitch, so they should succumb to in-form Fiorentina. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for APOEL had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.66%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an APOEL win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
APOEL	Draw	Fiorentina
17.52% ( 0)	23.47% ( 0.01)	59.01% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.12% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99% (

-0.01)

53.01% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4% (

-0.01)

74.6% (

0.01)

APOEL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.03% (

-0.01)

43.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.9% (

-0)

80.1% (

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31% (

-0.01)

17.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.66% (

-0.01)

48.33% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

APOEL 17.52%

Fiorentina 59%

Draw 23.47%

APOEL	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.55% 2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.63% Total : 17.52%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 13.47% 0-2 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 59%