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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 8, 2021 at 11am UK
Arsenal Stadium
LM

Arsenal Tula
0 - 3
Lokomotiv


Tkachev (49'), Bauer (63'), Dordevic (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smolov (71'), Cerqueira (75'), Zhemaletdinov (85')
Rybchinsky (8'), Mukhin (40'), Kulikov (52'), Rybus (78')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal TulaDrawLokomotiv Moscow
48.51%25.19%26.3%
Both teams to score 52.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54%50.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61%72.39%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5%53.49%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25%33.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59%70.41%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Tula 48.5%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 26.3%
    Draw 25.18%
Arsenal TulaDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 48.5%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.3%

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