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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2020 at 11am UK
Lokomotiv Stadium

Lokomotiv
3 - 1
Rubin Kazan

Ignatyev (17', 86'), Miranchuk (69' pen.)
Mukhin (5'), Krychowiak (36'), Cerqueira (74'), Lisakovich (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
In-beom (3')
Ignatyev (23'), Zuev (26'), Zotov (29'), Medvedev (69')
Ignatyev (47')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Rubin Kazan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawRubin Kazan
37.79%26.29%35.92%
Both teams to score 53.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54%51.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73%73.27%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49%26.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29%61.71%
Rubin Kazan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41%27.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88%63.12%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 37.79%
    Rubin Kazan 35.92%
    Draw 26.29%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawRubin Kazan
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.42%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.92%

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