SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 7.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
80.79% ( 2.23) | 12.12% ( -0.83) | 7.09% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( -4.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.39% ( -1.3) | 27.61% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.75% ( -1.65) | 48.25% ( 1.65) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.8% ( 0.11) | 5.2% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.44% ( 0.34) | 20.57% ( -0.34) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.02% ( -4.37) | 44.98% ( 4.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% ( -3.71) | 80.92% ( 3.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.93) 3-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.98)2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.78)1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.58)4-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.49)5-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.48)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.33)6-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.25)6-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.18)7-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 4.22% Total : 80.78% | 1-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.51)0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.18)Other @ 1% Total : 12.12% | 1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.02% Total : 7.09% |
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