SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
42.24% ( -2.73) | 26.55% ( 0.72) | 31.22% ( 2.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( -2.06) | 53.41% ( 2.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( -1.77) | 74.94% ( 1.78) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( -2.24) | 25.01% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% ( -3.21) | 59.68% ( 3.21) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( 0.38) | 31.59% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( 0.44) | 67.99% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.44)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.22% |
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