SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
45.5% ( 0.03) | 26.92% ( 0.34) | 27.58% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.26% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.61% ( -1.48) | 56.38% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.6% ( -1.21) | 77.4% ( 1.21) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( -0.64) | 24.71% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% ( -0.9) | 59.26% ( 0.9) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% ( -1.1) | 35.89% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% ( -1.14) | 72.66% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.58% |
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