SM
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 81.23%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 6.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aruba | Draw | Curacao |
81.23% ( 0.03) | 11.96% ( 0.03) | 6.81% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72% ( -0.48) | 28% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.26% ( -0.6) | 48.74% ( 0.61) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.8% ( -0.09) | 5.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.43% ( -0.26) | 20.57% ( 0.26) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.95% ( -0.56) | 46.05% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.24% ( -0.44) | 81.76% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aruba | Draw | Curacao |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.51% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.09% Total : 81.22% | 1-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.93% Total : 11.96% | 1-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 6.81% |
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