SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Brest |
59.14% ( -0.1) | 21.44% ( 0.06) | 19.42% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( -0.2) | 41.7% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.21) | 64.1% ( 0.21) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( -0.1) | 13.76% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.93% ( -0.19) | 41.06% ( 0.19) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( -0.08) | 35.17% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.07% ( -0.09) | 71.92% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 59.14% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.42% |
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