SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Monaco |
27.35% ( 0.38) | 23.97% ( 0.21) | 48.67% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( -0.67) | 44.5% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( -0.66) | 66.87% ( 0.65) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( -0.06) | 29.79% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( -0.08) | 65.87% ( 0.08) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( -0.49) | 18.4% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.46% ( -0.84) | 49.54% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.2% Total : 27.35% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.45% Total : 48.67% |
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