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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
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Monaco
2 - 1
Montpellier

Balogun (32'), Camara (90+8')
Vanderson (50'), Zakaria (50'), Salisu (82'), Camara (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nzingoula (16')
Sagnan (4'), Coulibaly (12')
Coulibaly (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Le Havre
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Montpellier HSC

While Montpellier have got a major monkey off their back by claiming their first win of the season, Der Zakarian's men remain as vulnerable as ever in defence and should be given a harsh reality check in the principality. Monaco could be forgiven for having one eye on their impending Champions League trip, but we have complete faith in Hutter's side to warm up for their trip to Croatia with a fourth win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
63.23% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89) 19.48% (0.473 0.47) 17.29% (0.417 0.42)
Both teams to score 58.71% (-0.861 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (-1.518 -1.52)36.08% (1.52 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.81% (-1.688 -1.69)58.19% (1.688 1.69)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11% (-0.66 -0.66)10.89% (0.661 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.97% (-1.487 -1.49)35.03% (1.488 1.49)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.473 -0.47)34.11% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.513 -0.51)70.8% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 63.23%
    Montpellier HSC 17.29%
    Draw 19.48%
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.189 0.19)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.03% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 63.23%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.312 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.274 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.48%
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 17.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Le Havre
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Auxerre 0-3 Monaco
Saturday, September 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Monaco
Saturday, August 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 St Etienne
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Nantes
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 6-0 Montpellier
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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