Red Star's away form in the Champions League says it all, and a 12th straight defeat on the road is expected against a Monaco side that are yet to lose this season.
No team has gone on a longer run in the UCL without a clean sheet than Monaco (22 games), but they should have more than enough in attack to comfortably sweep their Serbian opponents aside here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
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