Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Ternana
52.74% ( 0.54)	24.15% ( -0.16)	23.11% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.07% (

0.3)

48.93% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.98% (

0.27)

71.02% (

-0.27)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

0.33)

18.51% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.27% (

0.55)

49.73% (

-0.54)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.32% (

-0.18)

35.68% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.55% (

-0.18)

72.45% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 52.74%

Ternana 23.11%

Draw 24.15%

Ascoli	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 52.74%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.11%