Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Ascoli
34.85% ( -0.19)	27.37% ( -0.03)	37.78% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 49.68% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.11% (

0.1)

55.89% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23% (

0.09)

77% (

-0.08)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.59% (

-0.07)

30.41% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.39% (

-0.08)

66.61% (

0.09)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

0.18)

28.62% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

0.23)

64.42% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Ternana 34.85%

Ascoli 37.77%

Draw 27.37%

Ternana	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.85%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.77%