SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celtic |
30.28% ( -5.72) | 23.34% ( -1.1) | 46.38% ( 6.81) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( 1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( 3.36) | 39.72% ( -3.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( 3.4) | 62.07% ( -3.41) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( -1.74) | 25.36% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% ( -2.44) | 60.15% ( 2.44) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( 4.35) | 17.44% ( -4.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% ( 7.1) | 47.9% ( -7.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.9) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -1.36)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -1.2)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.6)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.67)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.28% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.73)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.63) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.77)1-3 @ 5.39% ( 1.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.89)2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.54)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.68)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.56)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.41)Other @ 3.97% Total : 46.38% |
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