Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
1.89) 
-2.14) 
