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Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 10, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
AP

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Luciano (52'), Silva (89')
Zubeldia (4'), Moura (75'), Vinicius (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Julimar (69')
Godoy (3'), Erick (43'), Felipe (62'), Julimar (81'), Belezi (90+3')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 0-3 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 6 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Vitoria
Saturday, November 2 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAthletico Paranaense
59.95% (0.537 0.54) 23.65% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 16.4% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 43.55% (-0.586 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (-0.316 -0.32)55.3% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (-0.262 -0.26)76.52% (0.265 0.27)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.082000000000008 0.08)18.19% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.13800000000001 0.14)49.2% (-0.133 -0.13)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.24% (-0.768 -0.77)46.76% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.69% (-0.59 -0.59)82.3% (0.59400000000001 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 59.93%
    Athletico Paranaense 16.4%
    Draw 23.65%
Sao PauloDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.49% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 12.35% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 59.93%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.19% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 16.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 0-3 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 6 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, October 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Vasco
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 2-0 Sao Paulo
Saturday, October 5 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 26 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Vitoria
Saturday, November 2 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Cruzeiro
Saturday, October 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Athletico PR
Tuesday, October 22 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 5-2 Athletico PR
Friday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-1 Botafogo
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Athletico PR
Monday, September 30 at 12am in Brasileiro


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