SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
64.82% ( 0) | 21.56% ( -0.01) | 13.62% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.2% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
