Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and Olimpia.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Olimpia |
36.26% ( -0.4) | 27.82% ( -0) | 35.91% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.02) |
| 42.42% ( 0.02) | 57.58% ( -0.02) |
| 21.64% ( 0.02) | 78.36% ( -0.02) |
| 69.63% ( -0.24) | 30.37% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.44% ( -0.29) | 66.56% ( 0.28) |
| 69.42% ( 0.27) | 30.58% ( -0.27) |
