SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
61.27% ( -0.11) | 22.33% ( 0.43) | 16.4% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.27% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( -2.28) | 50.29% ( 2.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( -2.06) | 72.24% ( 2.06) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( -0.8) | 15.95% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.78% ( -1.5) | 45.22% ( 1.5) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.24% ( -1.77) | 43.77% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.07% ( -1.5) | 79.93% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.44)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.1)Other @ 2% Total : 61.27% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.57% Total : 16.4% |
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