Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
50.05% ( 0.01)	25.59% ( 0.02)	24.35% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43% (

-0.09)

53.56% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.92% (

-0.07)

75.07% (

0.07)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

-0.03)

21.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

-0.05)

54.43% (

0.04)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

-0.07)

37.1% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.1% (

-0.07)

73.89% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 50.04%

Athletico Paranaense 24.35%

Draw 25.59%

Fluminense	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 50.04%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.35%