These sides are evenly matched in virtually every category, but the Paraguayans have looked quite comfortable away from home, while El Paranaense appear to be overwhelmed when playing in front of their supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 11.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
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