Although Augsburg are frail at the back, Schalke's recent record suggests the Ruhr club will be sent back to Gelsenkirchen with a cup defeat to mull over.
Both teams should score, but the hosts have more quality in key areas and will ultimately make that pay.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
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