Both teams still have something to play for heading into their final two Bundesliga fixtures, although there is more riding on this contest for Augsburg as they look to boost their hopes of a top-seven finish.
However, we expect high-flying Stuttgart to take advantage of the hosts' poor form and follow up their impressive win over Bayern Munich with another victory on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
