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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
UB

Augsburg
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Tietz (47'), Michel (81')
Breithaupt (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Khedira (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-1 Union Berlin

There has been little to separate these two teams in recent years, but Augsburg have had the edge and will be regarded as favourites for Friday's contest on home soil. After failing to score in four of their last five games, Union Berlin will hope to breach an Augsburg backline that has kept only two clean sheets all season, but that may not be enough to get the better of the hosts this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
50.06%24.91%25.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)50.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)71.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 50.05%
    Union Berlin 25.02%
    Draw 24.9%
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, March 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Augsburg
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg
Sunday, February 25 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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