Although Union Berlin's sacking of Fischer was a desperately sad day for the club, in the end it was a decision that probably had to be made given their disastrous start to the season. Grote will hope to make an immediate impact, with this fixture likely to provide his best opportunity of doing so.
However, Augsburg have become tougher to beat in recent weeks, having drawn successive games 1-1. We can envisage a repeat scoreline in the capital on Saturday, with both teams likely to be content with avoiding defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.08) 
0.02) 
