SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
34.15% ( -0.1) | 29.12% ( -0.05) | 36.72% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.72% ( 0.16) | 62.27% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.06% ( 0.12) | 81.94% ( -0.13) |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% ( 0.02) | 34.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.16% ( 0.02) | 70.84% ( -0.03) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( 0.18) | 32.45% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.03% ( 0.2) | 68.97% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.72% |
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