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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
FL
Famalicao logo

AVS
2 - 3
Famalicao

Lopes (6'), Akinsola (30')
Grau (39'), Roux (50'), Lopes (72'), Fonseca (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Aranda (14'), Dias (17', 77')
Dias (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 0-5 Porto
Monday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: AVS 0-2 Famalicao

AVS and Famalicao were both on the wrong end of heavy defeats last time out and will head into the weekend looking to bounce back. While home advantage gives Campelos's men a slight edge, the Vila Nova boast a superior squad on paper and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for AVS had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
AVSDrawFamalicao
18.53% (-0.455 -0.46) 24.58% (-0.199 -0.2) 56.9% (0.656 0.66)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.26% (0.152 0.15)55.74% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (0.126 0.13)76.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)44.36% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (-0.366 -0.37)80.42% (0.369 0.37)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.31699999999999 0.32)19.5% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (0.51 0.51)51.38% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    AVS 18.53%
    Famalicao 56.89%
    Draw 24.57%
AVSDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.67% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 18.53%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 14.14% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 11.55% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.3% (0.146 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.57% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 56.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AVS 0-5 Porto
Monday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sandinenses 0-2 AVS
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 AVS
Saturday, October 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-0 Farense
Monday, September 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 AVS
Sunday, September 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lagoa 0-2 Famalicao
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao
Friday, October 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, September 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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