Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
31.57% ( -0.13) | 27.67% ( 0.03) | 40.76% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.07% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.42% ( -0.15) | 57.58% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.65% ( -0.12) | 78.36% ( 0.12) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( -0.17) | 33.49% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% ( -0.19) | 70.13% ( 0.19) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( -0.02) | 27.72% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% ( -0.03) | 63.29% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: