SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
59.21% ( 5.11) | 22.19% ( -1.58) | 18.6% ( -3.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.73% ( 2.11) | 46.27% ( -2.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( 1.96) | 68.56% ( -1.95) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( 2.53) | 15.26% ( -2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.05% ( 4.55) | 43.95% ( -4.55) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.27% ( -2.44) | 38.73% ( 2.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.53% ( -2.39) | 75.47% ( 2.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.82)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 6.54% ( 1.01)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.59)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.69)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.49)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.33)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.21% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.76) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.94) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.73)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.66)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.6% |
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