SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
55.21% ( -0.38) | 24.43% ( 0.29) | 20.36% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( -1.03) | 53% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( -0.88) | 74.6% ( 0.88) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -0.54) | 19.1% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( -0.9) | 50.72% ( 0.9) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( -0.5) | 40.71% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% ( -0.45) | 77.29% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.21% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.36% |
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