Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
42.94% ( 0.01) | 26.13% ( 0) | 30.94% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.18% ( -0.01) | 51.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% ( -0.01) | 73.58% ( 0.01) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( 0) | 23.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% ( 0) | 58.19% ( -0.01) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.03% ( -0.01) | 30.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.72% ( -0.02) | 67.28% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.94% |
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