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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
IC

Ayr
1 - 3
Inverness

Chalmers (65')
Chalmers (54'), Young (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mckay (29'), Boyes (55', 63')
Duffy (38'), Welsh (50'), Shaw (80')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 3-0 Ayr
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 Inverness
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
42.94% (0.012 0.01) 26.13% (0.00099999999999767 0) 30.94% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.82% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)73.58% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.19% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.97% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 42.93%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 30.94%
    Draw 26.12%
Ayr UnitedDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 30.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morton 3-0 Ayr
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 2-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 4-4 Ayr
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Ayr
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 3-1 Ayr
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 Inverness
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Morton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 1-2 Arbroath
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Inverness
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-4 Inverness
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship


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