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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
AU

Inverness
3 - 1
Ayr

Wotherspoon (32', 43'), Mckay (45+3' pen.)
Anderson (27'), Brooks (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Murphy (61' pen.)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 2-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawAyr United
38.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 25.78% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 36.18% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.96% (0.175 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.223 0.22)49.24% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.201 0.2)71.29% (-0.205 -0.2)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.108 0.11)25.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.14899999999999 0.15)60.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.126 0.13)26.38% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.169 0.17)61.54% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.03%
    Ayr United 36.18%
    Draw 25.77%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 1-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Partick
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 2-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 2-2 Ayr
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 0-1 Morton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-1 Ayr
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-2 Ayr
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Raith Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship


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