SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
54.7% ( -1.03) | 21.69% ( 0.28) | 23.61% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 61.39% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.46) | 37.35% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.49) | 59.57% ( 0.49) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( -0.47) | 13.69% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.08% ( -0.94) | 40.92% ( 0.93) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( 0.36) | 28.87% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( 0.45) | 64.73% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.31% Total : 23.61% |
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