The in-form hosts will be the obvious favourites to get the better of a struggling Vitesse side, and we expect AZ to showcase their extra quality and claim a relatively comfortable victory in Saturday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
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