The teams are closely matched in the league table, and we expect that to translate to an enthralling affair with plenty of goalmouth action at both ends. That said, we are also tipping AZ Alkmaar to come out on top at the sound of the final whistle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a FC Twente win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
66.6%	19.5%	13.9%

Both teams to score 50.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.85%

43.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.45%

65.56%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95%

12.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.44%

37.56%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.14%

42.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.83%

79.18%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 66.59%

FC Twente 13.9%

Draw 19.5%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
2-0 @ 11.56% 1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.42% Total : 66.59%	1-1 @ 9.26% 0-0 @ 5.17% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.5%	0-1 @ 4.38% 1-2 @ 3.92% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.47% Total : 13.9%