SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Slovakia |
30.41% ( 0.08) | 25.04% ( 0.04) | 44.55% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.57% ( -0.12) | 47.43% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% ( -0.11) | 69.64% ( 0.12) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.01) | 29.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -0.01) | 65.04% ( 0.02) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( -0.1) | 21.31% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% ( -0.16) | 54.26% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.55% |
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