With the hosts winless in their last five matches, including four losses, and the visitors determined to close the gap on league leaders Botafogo, we predict a Palmeiras victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Palmeiras
33.02% ( 0.41)	27.11% ( -0.13)	39.87% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 50.15% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

0.59)

55.14% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61% (

0.48)

76.39% (

-0.49)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

0.58)

31.23% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42% (

0.67)

67.58% (

-0.67)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

0.12)

27.07% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.16)

62.44% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Bahia 33.02%

Palmeiras 39.86%

Draw 27.1%

Bahia	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.02%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.86%