Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.33) 
-0.01) 
