Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ballymena United | Draw | Portadown |
47.06% ( -0.14) | 24.43% ( 0) | 28.51% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.62% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.21% ( 0.06) | 45.79% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.9% ( 0.06) | 68.1% ( -0.06) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( -0.03) | 19.55% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% ( -0.05) | 51.47% ( 0.05) |
Portadown Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% ( 0.13) | 29.61% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% ( 0.16) | 65.65% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Ballymena United | Draw | Portadown |
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.51% |
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