SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 35.71%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
35.71% ( -1.79) | 30.72% ( 0.08) | 33.57% ( 1.71) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.7% ( -0.08) | 67.3% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.53% ( -0.05) | 85.47% ( 0.05) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( -1.23) | 35.8% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( -1.29) | 72.57% ( 1.29) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( 1.22) | 37.3% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.92% ( 1.18) | 74.08% ( -1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.71% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.47)2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.71% | 0-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.78% Total : 33.56% |
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