Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Ternana
46.31% ( -1.09)	26.32% ( 0.09)	27.37% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 49.85% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.73% (

0.25)

54.26% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.34% (

0.21)

75.66% (

-0.21)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

-0.39)

23.4% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

-0.58)

57.38% (

0.58)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07% (

0.95)

34.92% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33% (

0.99)

71.66% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

Bari 46.3%

Ternana 27.37%

Draw 26.31%

Bari	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.3%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.37%