Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
35.4% ( 0.02) | 25.94% ( -0.02) | 38.65% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50% ( 0.09) | 50% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.02% ( 0.08) | 71.98% ( -0.08) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.8% ( 0.05) | 27.2% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.39% ( 0.07) | 62.61% ( -0.07) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( 0.04) | 25.36% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( 0.06) | 60.15% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.65% |
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