SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
29.3% ( 0.08) | 24.22% ( 0.03) | 46.48% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.08) | 44.36% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( -0.08) | 66.73% ( 0.08) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( 0.02) | 28.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( 0.02) | 64.06% ( -0.02) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.08) | 19.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( -0.13) | 50.92% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.48% |
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