SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
45.21% ( -0.05) | 24.8% ( 0.01) | 29.99% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( -0.04) | 46.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( -0.04) | 68.87% ( 0.04) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.04) | 20.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.74% ( -0.06) | 53.26% ( 0.06) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.01) | 28.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( 0.01) | 64.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.99% |
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