Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
