Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.