SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
21.69% ( -3.88) | 22.01% ( -1.11) | 56.29% ( 4.99) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.92) | 41.17% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 0.93) | 63.56% ( -0.93) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( -2.78) | 32.65% ( 2.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.8% ( -3.23) | 69.2% ( 3.22) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( 2.01) | 14.48% ( -2.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.54% ( 3.76) | 42.46% ( -3.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.76) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.66)2-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.64)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.34)Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.31)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.82)1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.56)0-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.88)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.46)0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.58)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.14)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.25)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.28)Other @ 3.04% Total : 56.29% |
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